Following the thrilling conclusion of the Champions League quarter finals, Opta’s analyses reposition the teams in the race as favourites for the final sacre. Arsenal, thanks to a remarkable performance and a net elimination of Real Madrid, is now the main contender for the title, just ahead of Inter Milan, Paris Saint-Germain and FC Barcelona. The meetings in the last square are already on an exceptional level, promising a major sporting spectacle.

The semifinals, which will take place between 29 April and 8 May, will put Arsenal in competition against Paris Saint-Germain, while Inter Milan will cross the iron with FC Barcelona. The Paris Saint-Germain had a more difficult qualification, having had to fight not to give up his place at Aston Villa after a tense return match. Inter Milan, for its part, demonstrated impressive strength by dominant Bayern Munich over all two meetings, while FC Barcelona overcame a first more delicate encounter to finally eliminate Borussia Dortmund.

Current projections give Arsenal a 28.7% chance of winning the Champions League, followed by Paris Saint-Germain (24%) and Inter Milan (25.5%). FC Barcelona, once considered an undisputed favourite, saw its chances diminish, now ranking fourth at 21.8%. These figures reflect the volatility of football and the significant impact of recent performances on experts’ estimates.